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GSA 接受过渡,不确定性缓解

2020-11-23 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-0.19% -0.58% +3.93%
DIA Dow 30
+0.96% +1.11% +5.14%
EEM Emerging Markets
+0.77% +1.16% +9.48%
EWJ Japan
+0.79% +1.27% +5.44%
FXI China Large Cap
-0.04% -0.21% +1.70%
GLD Gold
-1.58% -0.45% +4.21%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.12% -0.59% -1.27%
IWM Russell 2000
+1.53% +1.14% +15.48%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+2.03% +4.64% +8.66%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
+0.02% +0.02% +0.06%
SLV Silver
-0.96% +1.82% +15.18%
SPY S&P 500
+1.45% +2.61% +6.51%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-1.30% -2.71% -5.38%
UNG Natural Gas
+4.70% -2.45% -5.00%
USO Crude Oil
+6.27% +4.91% +16.97%
UUP USD Index
-0.64% -1.60% -2.96%
VIXY VIX Futures
-5.12% -6.05% -10.11%
VTI Total US Market
+1.51% +2.44% +7.78%
XLB Materials
+1.42% +0.73% +9.84%
XLC Communication Services
+2.03% +5.18% +5.44%
XLE Energy
+2.69% -0.55% +9.61%
XLF Financials
+3.14% +3.36% +12.34%
XLI Industrials
+0.98% -0.20% +2.37%
XLK Technology
+1.61% +3.99% +8.45%
XLP Consumer Staples
+0.62% +0.63% +0.91%
XLRE Real Estate
+0.19% -0.68% -2.94%
XLU Utilities
+1.34% +0.24% -1.92%
XLV Healthcare
-0.07% +2.74% +8.10%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+1.61% +1.33% +6.63%

US Election Uncertainty — Volatility, Dollar, and EM Reactions

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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