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Fed 顶住市场压力继续加息

2018-12-19 monetary 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-1.11% -0.22% +0.66%
DIA Dow 30
-3.74% -0.99% +8.47%
EEM Emerging Markets
+0.08% +1.95% +11.28%
EWJ Japan
-3.59% -1.42% +5.18%
FXI China Large Cap
-0.84% -0.61% +8.85%
GLD Gold
+1.10% +3.09% +5.56%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.04% +0.53% +0.80%
IWM Russell 2000
-4.20% -0.85% +12.66%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
-4.50% -0.73% +10.02%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
+0.06% +0.30% +0.47%
SLV Silver
+0.37% +5.33% +8.69%
SPY S&P 500
-3.64% -0.82% +8.87%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-0.38% -0.11% -0.40%
UNG Natural Gas
+0.36% -9.09% -21.07%
USO Crude Oil
-4.49% -4.89% +14.77%
UUP USD Index
-0.12% -0.75% -0.91%
VIXY VIX Futures
+10.56% +14.32% -20.42%
VTI Total US Market
-3.70% -0.83% +9.59%
XLB Materials
-2.23% +0.79% +7.47%
XLC Communication Services
-4.97% -1.61% +10.76%
XLE Energy
-3.71% -2.10% +11.61%
XLF Financials
-2.87% +0.54% +11.49%
XLI Industrials
-3.68% -1.33% +12.66%
XLK Technology
-4.78% -1.24% +8.96%
XLP Consumer Staples
-2.80% -2.05% +3.74%
XLRE Real Estate
-2.72% -2.75% +7.87%
XLU Utilities
-0.48% -2.29% +1.05%
XLV Healthcare
-2.63% +0.39% +6.57%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
-4.46% -0.18% +9.94%

Fed Rate Cycle Pivots — Cross-Asset Reaction Patterns

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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