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OPEC 拒绝减产,页岩气价格战 (-50% 半年)

2014-11-27 commodity shock 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
+1.21% -1.06% -3.45%
DIA Dow 30
-0.28% +0.25% -0.83%
EEM Emerging Markets
-1.71% -2.94% -4.79%
EWJ Japan
+0.52% -0.52% -3.99%
FXI China Large Cap
-2.61% +2.66% +4.51%
GLD Gold
+3.99% +3.27% +5.75%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.25% -0.53% +2.36%
IWM Russell 2000
-1.56% -0.40% +0.79%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
-1.13% -1.30% -3.85%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.00% -0.25% +0.04%
SLV Silver
+6.41% +5.93% +7.01%
SPY S&P 500
-0.69% -0.28% -1.66%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-0.58% +0.29% +8.09%
UNG Natural Gas
-3.76% -13.12% -33.30%
USO Crude Oil
+2.89% -6.53% -31.94%
UUP USD Index
-0.47% +0.81% +3.88%
VIXY VIX Futures
+4.17% -1.26% +22.34%
VTI Total US Market
-0.84% -0.38% -1.43%
XLB Materials
-1.04% -0.37% -1.15%
XLC Communication Services
+0.62% -0.74% -2.10%
XLE Energy
+0.35% -3.50% -6.51%
XLF Financials
-0.70% +2.21% -1.47%
XLI Industrials
-1.28% -0.49% -2.74%
XLK Technology
-1.13% -1.88% -3.55%
XLP Consumer Staples
-0.65% -1.12% +0.02%
XLRE Real Estate
+0.46% +2.62% +2.35%
XLU Utilities
+0.20% +0.52% +3.68%
XLV Healthcare
-0.24% +2.05% +1.28%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
-1.10% -1.20% -1.40%

Oil Shocks — How Crude Reshapes the Tape

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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