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Trump 退出伊朗核协议

2018-05-08 commodity shock 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-0.73% -2.76% -5.11%
DIA Dow 30
+1.66% +1.77% +1.37%
EEM Emerging Markets
+2.28% +0.09% -4.77%
EWJ Japan
-0.28% +0.28% -2.71%
FXI China Large Cap
+2.24% +1.75% -4.65%
GLD Gold
+0.47% -1.79% -3.41%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.02% -1.05% +0.88%
IWM Russell 2000
+1.08% +2.43% +6.33%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+2.14% +1.36% +5.80%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.05% -0.08% +0.28%
SLV Silver
+1.48% -0.26% -0.06%
SPY S&P 500
+1.91% +1.91% +3.39%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
+0.20% -2.09% +1.79%
UNG Natural Gas
+2.46% +4.16% +6.90%
USO Crude Oil
+2.49% +3.06% -0.28%
UUP USD Index
-0.45% +0.49% +1.76%
VIXY VIX Futures
-8.45% -12.40% -16.63%
VTI Total US Market
+1.82% +1.98% +3.83%
XLB Materials
+2.17% +3.68% +1.96%
XLC Communication Services
+0.62% -0.74% -2.10%
XLE Energy
+2.80% +5.62% +1.51%
XLF Financials
+2.32% +1.95% -1.64%
XLI Industrials
+1.76% +2.23% -0.49%
XLK Technology
+2.55% +1.35% +4.12%
XLP Consumer Staples
+0.73% +1.36% +5.79%
XLRE Real Estate
+1.70% -1.96% +4.61%
XLU Utilities
+0.70% -1.96% +2.49%
XLV Healthcare
+1.92% +3.39% +6.20%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+0.71% +1.03% +7.39%

Oil Shocks — How Crude Reshapes the Tape

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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