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沙特 Abqaiq 设施遭无人机袭击 (-5% 全球供应)

2019-09-16 commodity shock 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-0.83% +0.77% +2.25%
DIA Dow 30
+0.30% -0.35% +0.05%
EEM Emerging Markets
-0.41% -1.74% +1.60%
EWJ Japan
+0.16% +1.11% +3.73%
FXI China Large Cap
-1.16% -3.09% -0.75%
GLD Gold
-0.43% +0.36% +0.79%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
+0.30% +0.90% +1.53%
IWM Russell 2000
-0.87% -2.06% -1.21%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+0.44% -0.63% +3.02%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.01% +0.14% +0.61%
SLV Silver
-1.14% -0.18% +1.08%
SPY S&P 500
+0.31% -0.39% +1.52%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
+0.97% +2.31% +2.32%
UNG Natural Gas
-2.19% -7.39% -10.57%
USO Crude Oil
-5.69% -8.03% -11.93%
UUP USD Index
-0.07% +0.52% -0.93%
VIXY VIX Futures
-3.74% +0.88% -15.53%
VTI Total US Market
+0.23% -0.52% +1.13%
XLB Materials
+0.86% +0.21% +0.54%
XLC Communication Services
-0.02% -1.30% -0.71%
XLE Energy
-1.87% -3.40% -7.35%
XLF Financials
+0.46% -0.55% +1.61%
XLI Industrials
-0.20% -1.45% -0.45%
XLK Technology
+0.40% -0.04% +3.67%
XLP Consumer Staples
+0.71% +1.26% +1.77%
XLRE Real Estate
+1.10% +1.13% +1.55%
XLU Utilities
+1.30% +3.33% +2.79%
XLV Healthcare
+0.14% -0.77% +4.20%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+0.56% -0.68% -0.48%

Oil Shocks — How Crude Reshapes the Tape

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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