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Wagner 兵变向莫斯科推进

2023-06-26 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-2.14% -1.26% -0.46%
DIA Dow 30
+0.44% +1.68% +4.45%
EEM Emerging Markets
+0.41% +1.17% +2.16%
EWJ Japan
+1.49% +1.10% +0.92%
FXI China Large Cap
+1.33% +1.41% +6.74%
GLD Gold
-0.69% -0.38% -0.51%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
+0.05% -1.66% -2.30%
IWM Russell 2000
+1.94% +2.78% +5.52%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+1.92% +3.52% +3.05%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.04% -0.39% +0.23%
SLV Silver
-0.29% +1.48% -0.33%
SPY S&P 500
+1.15% +2.71% +3.35%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
+0.16% -1.99% -7.08%
UNG Natural Gas
-7.92% -7.66% -2.86%
USO Crude Oil
-0.33% +3.03% +18.28%
UUP USD Index
+0.21% +0.78% +0.67%
VIXY VIX Futures
-6.08% -4.61% -6.01%
VTI Total US Market
+1.30% +2.84% +3.65%
XLB Materials
+0.72% +0.78% +3.04%
XLC Communication Services
+2.14% +3.75% +6.34%
XLE Energy
+1.24% +2.74% +12.43%
XLF Financials
+0.55% +3.55% +6.67%
XLI Industrials
+1.20% +2.52% +4.39%
XLK Technology
+2.03% +2.97% +0.42%
XLP Consumer Staples
-0.38% +1.00% +1.08%
XLRE Real Estate
+1.36% +4.15% +1.80%
XLU Utilities
-1.45% +1.54% -2.21%
XLV Healthcare
-0.55% +0.24% +2.73%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+2.55% +5.27% +4.27%

Russia-Ukraine War — Energy, Gold, and Risk-Sentiment Inflection Points

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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